Okay, I’m a little late on my predictions, but here goes. Bush beats Kerry and manages to get 50% of the popular vote. The media will ignore that Bush is the first candidate for president to get to 50% since 1988, when George H. W. Bush beat Michael Dukakis. Kerry gets 46%. Nader 1 ½ to 2%. Bush will win Wisconsin with 52% of the two party vote. He’ll win Ohio and Florida, but fall short in Pennsylvania and Michigan. He’ll take Iowa and Wisconsin and just miss in Minnesota. New Mexico will vote Republican this time despite Democrat shenanigans but they’ll take New Hampshire into the Democrat column. Bush’s electoral total will be 296 votes.
Alabama 9 Nebraska 5
Alaska 3 Nevada 5
Arizona 10 New Mexico 5
Arkansas 6 North Carolina 15
Colorado 9 North Dakota 3
Florida 27 Ohio 20
Georgia 15 Oklahoma 7
Idaho 4 South Carolina 8
Indiana 11 South Dakota 3
Iowa 7 Tennessee 11
Kansas 6 Texas 34
Kentucky 8 Utah 5
Louisiana 9 Virginia 13
Mississippi 6 West Virginia 5
Missouri 11 Wisconsin 10
Montana 3 Wyoming 3